Interactive public sample
Quant Research Engine
Inspect the expected value of a hypothetical binary contract.
Synthetic scenarios only. No market feed, live orders, backtest, or profitable strategy is represented. Sample inputs stay in this open page and clear when you leave or reload. Use fictional information.
Assume a binary contract pays $1 if an event happens and $0 otherwise. Compare an assumed probability against a hypothetical price and a fixed per-contract fee.
Hypothetical expected net value
4 cents per contract
(55% × 100 cents) − 50 cents − 1 cents = 4 cents.
The probability is an assumption, not an estimate from a working model. Actual outcomes are a full win or loss; execution, liquidity, and venue fee rules are omitted.
Project background & visual preview
Prediction-market research and paper testing. This focused public sample was built to make the core interaction inspectable; it does not represent the full private project.